Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000272 0.000305 0.000340 0.000382 0.000428 0.000479 0.000540
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000211 0.000257 0.000312 0.000381 0.000468 0.000573 0.000710
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000171 0.000222 0.000286 0.000374 0.000491 0.000644 0.000859
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000149 0.000203 0.000275 0.000379 0.000526 0.000730 0.001037
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000131 0.000187 0.000265 0.000382 0.000557 0.000812 0.001217
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000112 0.000166 0.000243 0.000365 0.000555 0.000844 0.001327
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000102 0.000155 0.000236 0.000367 0.000580 0.000918 0.001511
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000097 0.000152 0.000237 0.000383 0.000628 0.001035 0.001780
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000140 0.000226 0.000375 0.000636 0.001085 0.001939
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000127 0.000209 0.000357 0.000624 0.001097 0.002033
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000121 0.000205 0.000361 0.000651 0.001183 0.002274
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000121 0.000209 0.000378 0.000703 0.001321 0.002638
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000113 0.000201 0.000373 0.000713 0.001382 0.002862
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000107 0.000195 0.000372 0.000733 0.001466 0.003149
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000100 0.000186 0.000364 0.000738 0.001522 0.003383
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000097 0.000184 0.000369 0.000770 0.001635 0.003769
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000093 0.000181 0.000372 0.000797 0.001745 0.004164
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000086 0.000170 0.000356 0.000780 0.001750 0.004303
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000083 0.000167 0.000357 0.000804 0.001855 0.004713
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000082 0.000170 0.000373 0.000862 0.002049 0.005397
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000078 0.000163 0.000365 0.000863 0.002104 0.005708
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000072 0.000152 0.000348 0.000838 0.002088 0.005817
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000033 0.000070 0.000151 0.000352 0.000868 0.002220 0.006383